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The TerryReport

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Doug Terry

 

FORMER COLLEAGUE SLAMS BILL O’REILLY

WalMart Minimum Wage Raised

LESLEY GORE DIES

BOB SIMON OF CBS NEWS

BRIAN WILLIAMS’ PROBLEMS

TRAVELING TO CUBA NOW

RECENT POSTS: late ‘14, early ‘15

LATE 2014 posts

The Next President: who has a chance?

Obama Not in France

Police Strike

Wash. Monument

Greg Mort, Painter

Car Hype?

Obama’s Statement

Ben’s Chili Bowl

Cuba Vacation

Cuban Exiles: No

TSA Changes

Street Protests

Rolling Stone Mess

Prosperity Now

Campus Rapes

1 World Trade Center

Who Caused Riots?

Ferguson Updates

Ferguson Live Vid

MARION BARRY DIES

Marion Barry Gone

GOP Plays Nice?

(Some) 2014 posts

SCHOOL SHOOTINGS

DEMOCRATS LOSE

ROCKET EXPLOSION

EBOLA PAGES

GONZALO CAM

Ebola Breaking Pt.

Ebola Panic!

Blood Moon

Kirk Counsins Rises

Personal Data: No!

White House Security

REDKINS NAME

Petty Fines in Ferguson, Mo

Police Stealing

Rick Perry Prays

Book Festival

SPEED CAMERAS

NATIVE AMERICANS?

PHILLY RIOTS

Hamas/Israel

Arrest Ferguson

Police Armies

Police Threat

Mistaken Police

Ferguson, Mo.

Ferguson2

LOWER WAGES

REAL ISSUE IN Missouri

Perry’s Mouth

Robin Williams

Tony Stewart

Israel/Gaza

People in Deep Debt

Ft. Hood Security

Paintball Gun

Ukraine Crash

Robert Teich/wealth

Supermoon 2013

Student Loans

Perry’s Joke

Personal Freedom

Challenge to Democracy

Murrieta Demonstrations

NASA/Arthur

WHY POOR?

CITIZEN’S WEALTH FUND

REAL AMERICA?

NTSB REPORT

Interstate Driving

OBAMA/Iraq

NO AIR TRAVEL

Iraq Plans

Obama’s Fault?

SICKNESS and poverty

LICENSE PLATE READERS

The obvious picks for the 2016 presidential nominations are Hillary Clinton for the Dems and Jeb Bush for the Republicans.

As for Bush, others have noted that during the last 50 years, the Republicans have always started their primary campaigns with a front runner and the front runner has always won the nomination, for better or worse. Another way of looking at this is the “next in line” system whereby the Republicans reward a person who has waited around through an election cycle or two to be anointed. 2016 could be an exception, but Republicans, being traditionalists and favoring the sons of established family wealth and/or social/political standing, tend to follow their own established traditions. That makes Bush, by far, the odds on favorite, regardless of the feeling many people have against have a virtual replay of 1992, Bush versus Clinton.

Not much needs to be said here about Clinton. There are miles of words being written pro and con. When she ran in 2008, she failed to define a vision for how and where she wanted to lead the country. If she fails on that level again in 2016, Bush could win because he is smart enough and experienced as a politician to be able to outline a vision for the nation. Last time round, Mrs. Clinton relied on the idea of being the first woman president and continuing the successes, but not the excesses, of her husband. That won’t be enough for 2016.

Here are the TerryReport standings:

SOME CHANCE (for the nomination)

Martin O’Malley (Dem) (a successful governor little known outside Maryland)

Jim Webb (Dem) (a formable person who finds a way to exceed expectations and defy odds)

Marco Rubio (Rep) Young and handsome, Rubio is only a first term US Senator but it is a mighty leap even for highly experienced politicians to go into a presidential campaign. The “pros” would say it is a near impossibility, but then, we have Obama as president and G.W. Bush became president after barely six years in elective office (with a lot of family experience behind him, of course.)

LITTLE CHANCE

Scott Walker (too far back, too little know, too controversial, his administration even tried to re-write the mission statement of the University of Wisconsin to make it more like a vocational traning school and then claimed it was an editing error, but he has still a chance (mistakes made early on don’t count for much because most people don’t hear about them and those who do don’t remember them anyway.)

Chris Christie (A large candidate who does not possess the personal emotional control to be president and one who might repulse the old line Republicans, especially if they get to know him better. )

VERY LITTLE TO NO CHANCE

Rand Paul (already shot himself in the foot, repeatedly and shows no signs of learning fast enough to become a real candidate this time around)

Ted Cruz (might even prove too radical even for Texas. Got one fixed idea about politics and economics as a teenagers and he’s stickin’ with it.)

Rick Santorum

Rick Perry

Bobby Jindal

Carly Fiorina (former corporate CEO, might make a veep choice, but not even that is likely)

Ben Carson

 

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